Scottsdale housing market, September 2026

What this means if you’re selling in Scottsdale

On 9/15/26 the Cromford index for Scottsdale read 158.9, which Cromford classes as a seller’s market. On your street that means a priced-right home sells faster than it did a year ago: the typical single-family home took about 61 days, down from 80 (median, 9/15/26 vs 9/15/25).

Now the part sellers do not want to hear. That edge is built on scarcity. Scottsdale has about 12% fewer homes for sale than a year ago while buyer demand is only slightly higher, and the moment listings return, the index follows them down. And Scottsdale sellers are asking about 13% more per square foot than buyers are paying on the median (9/15/26), the widest gap of the six cities. Roughly a third of Scottsdale listings do not sell at all.

Sellers who close get about 96 cents on every dollar they ask (96.33%). Price matters more here than anywhere I work. List at the last three closings and you are in the 61-day group. List at the asking prices around you and you may be in the third that never closes.

What this means if you’re buying in Scottsdale

Scottsdale gives you the most negotiating room of the six cities on the homes that actually sell. Sellers who close are getting about 96 cents on the dollar (96.33%, 9/15/26), and they are asking about 13% more per square foot than buyers are paying on the median. That gap is where your offer lives.

The good homes still move. The typical single-family home sold in about 61 days on 9/15/26, nearly three weeks faster than a year earlier, and there are about 12% fewer homes for sale than there were then. On a priced-right home, you will still be competing.

The typical sale was $1,132,000, but the median hides a wide range, and the gap between ask and close grows as the price rises. If you are shopping above the median, I build your offer from closed price per square foot on the last three comparable sales, never from what the neighbors are asking. Ask how long a home has been listed. Past 61 days, the seller has usually learned what the market will pay.

Watch next month: Whether Scottsdale’s homes-for-sale count keeps climbing this fall; it rose over the five days to 9/15/26, and its edge rests on scarcity.

Sources: Cromford Report and ARMLS, data 9/15/26. Analysis and wording are mine; see how I read the numbers.